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Have We Seen Peak Home Price Growth this Cycle?

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The rise in home prices from the trough in 2009 has added $8tn to home values, pushing the value of homes to a level surpassing the 2006 peak (chart 1). In order to accomplish such dramatic growth, home price growth outpaced nominal household income growth in each of the last six years. In chart 2 […]

The Fundamental Case for Miners

Miners of all sorts have been put in the penalty box in recent years for massively over-investing from 2008-2013 on the thought that China’s infrastructure investment boom, and the commensurate demand for raw materials, would last forever. The over-investment and excess supply drove commodity prices lower and with it the performance of miners. For example, […]

Investors Should Pay Attention to the Foreign Materials and Energy Sectors, They Are Fast Becoming Leadership

We’ve been talking at length recently about the attractiveness of foreign, cyclical stocks here, here, here, and here just over the last month. While foreign developed markets are attractive, emerging markets are especially attractive from a valuation perspective and are also benefiting from what we think is just the beginning of a persistently weak US dollar environment. […]