Three Geopolitical Shifts to Watch this Summer, a Q&A with Peter Zeihan: Part 2 – China, North Korea and Trump

ChineseEconomicConcentrations

We met with Geopolitical Strategist Peter Zeihan for a quarterly update right before the French presidential elections. In addition to calling Macron’s win, Peter outlined the three most important geopolitical shifts for US financial advisors to watch in the coming months. In order of priority: What’s next for Brexit? This is important because the UK’s […]

Three Geopolitical Shifts to Watch this Summer, a Q&A with Peter Zeihan: Part 1 – Brexit, the EU and Trump

Europe Political

We met with Geopolitical Strategist Peter Zeihan for a quarterly update right before the French presidential elections. In addition to calling Macron’s win, Peter outlined the three most important geopolitical shifts for US financial advisors to watch in the coming months. In order of priority: What’s next for Brexit? This is important because the UK’s […]

Q&A with Peter Zeihan, Part 2: Three New Wars

Absent Superpower

We recently met with geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan to discuss world events since the American election and his new book, “The Absent Superpower: The Shale Revolution and a World without America.” In the book, Peter credits energy and resource innovations with reshaping the global geopolitical environment. We covered so much ground in our visit with […]

Q&A with Author Peter Zeihan: How Shale is Reshaping America and the World

Absent Superpower

We recently met with geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan to discuss world events since the American election and his new book, “The Absent Superpower,” released last month. In the book, Peter credits energy and resource innovations with reshaping the global geopolitical environment. He predicts by 2019, US oil production costs could drop to $25 per barrel, […]

French Economic Uncertainty at All-Time Highs

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The rise in European government bond yields has been widespread since lows in early fall last year, led by Italy and (now) France. As investors turn to the relative safety of bunds, the spread between French and German yields (light blue line below) has risen to multi-year highs. In addition, the economic policy uncertainty index […]

Is the European Investor About to Become More Omnivorous?

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With yields in Europe well below 2% for the better part of the last five years, foreign bonds–especially US Treasuries, trading at an increasingly higher spread to German counterparts–offered an appealing alternative. Appetite for USTs is one that remained strong for 50 straight months as yields in Germany fell nearly continuously. In November, however, European […]

Brent-WTI Spread Widest in Months, More to Come?

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Weekly field production of crude oil in the US averaged a steady ~15%yoy growth from the beginning of 2012 until mid-2015. That rate dropped into negative territory as production declined an average of ~2%yoy in the last year and a half. Advances in drilling technology over the last several years, detailed in geopolitical strategist Peter […]

European Economic Sentiment Data at a Nine-Year High

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EU economic sentiment data beat expectations in December and rose to levels not seen since 2007. Business confidence led the overall increase with rises in both the industrials and services sectors. A simple diffusion index of this data tracks the breadth across the Euro Zone (19 countries) and the European Union (28 countries). In both cases, […]