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Disturbing Commercial Bank Trends April 10, 2023

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, News

Lost in the Good Friday holiday and the jobs report was the weekly report on bank lending, deposits and securities holdings. Keeping in mind this data is always a week old, it shows the retreat from banks continues. Small banks have now experienced about $250…

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Quarterly Strategy Report: Credit Crunch April 03, 2023

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets, News

As banks back away from credit creation, we think certain assets could reassert their leadership. In our Quarterly Strategy Report, we analyze the Credit Crunch. Prefer to download this presentation in PDF? Please click here. 1. Summary -The recent banking crisis, with several banks being…

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The Case for Gold is Looking Stronger March 27, 2023

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet grew by $394B in the past two weeks. In the context of all G4 central banks, this move alone erases half of all quantitative tightening (QT) progress since the beginning of the year. A directional change like this could indicate…

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What are JGBs Trying to Tell Us? March 23, 2023

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy, News

Yields on 10-Year Japanese Government Bonds have fallen by about a third over the past two weeks, as shown in the chart below. Given the tumult surrounding banks recently, and a series of relatively dismal economic data releases out of Japan, this isn’t exactly surprising….

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Fed’s Balance Sheet Balloons March 21, 2023

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

To shore up Silicon Valley Bank and the other failed banks, the Federal Reserve extended an open-ended line of credit via its Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) and discount window borrowings. So far, this program has increased the Fed’s balance sheet equal to roughly half…

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Based in Yokohama, Japan, Lasertec makes advanced inspection tools for semiconductor manufacturing. Using optical technology, its systems find defects too tiny to be seen by the human eye. In the semiconductor manufacturing process, defects may appear first on the photomask layer of a chip. If…

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Credit Suisse’s Chickens Come Home to Roost March 15, 2023

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy, News

The chart below demonstrates the multi-year decline in Credit Suisse’s business. Credit Suisse’s problems revealed today stem from issues the company discussed last June in a profit warning. Below is a chart of Credit Suisse’s assets under management discussed during that profit warning. According to…

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