Shifting Currents in the US Treasury Market

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Employing basic bond math, we can decompose the US Treasury bond into two pieces: real rates and break-even inflation expectations. Because real rates (TIPS) and nominal rates (US Treasuries) are directly observable, break-even inflation is relatively easy to determine. Taking this logic one step further, we can actually decompose a US Treasury bond into three […]

Investors Should Pay Attention to the Foreign Materials and Energy Sectors, They Are Fast Becoming Leadership

We’ve been talking at length recently about the attractiveness of foreign, cyclical stocks here, here, here, and here just over the last month. While foreign developed markets are attractive, emerging markets are especially attractive from a valuation perspective and are also benefiting from what we think is just the beginning of a persistently weak US dollar environment. […]

Investing in Gold for RICs

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For retail investors, there are a few vehicles for exposure to gold. The SPDR Gold ETF (GLD) and the iShares Gold ETF (IAU) are the biggest, lowest cost funds for retail investors. Below are charts of the GLD and the IAU, with price and USD volume overlay to illustrate the liquidity. The GLD ETF trades […]