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An Inflection Point in the Labor Market? May 26, 2022

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, News

As everyone knows, the labor market has been quite strong, with expectations for the unemployment rate to fall further next week. Much has been made of the relationship between job openings and unemployed people that are in the labor force. The ratio of job openings…

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Inflation, Growth, China and Financial Markets May 19, 2022

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

All year inflation has been the narrative driving markets. Since December 2021, once the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) took off, rates have risen in tandem. But, interestingly enough the BCOM has been flat since peaking on March 8, 2022. Every day we seem to be…

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Kforce is a professional staffing and technology firm headquartered in Tampa, Florida. Each year this Knowledge Leader provides more than 30,000 opportunities to professionals who work for 3,000 clients, including a significant majority of the Fortune 500. Founded in 1962, this firm’s intellectual property is…

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Crash Watch May 12, 2022

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

The template of 1929 and 1987 is coming into focus in recent trading days. Let’s start with the 1929 crash. The Dow Jones Industrial Average began the week of October 5 with a slight gain, and then the rest of the week (October 6-9) were…

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The Chinese Devaluation Continues May 11, 2022

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

Just today, as US inflation came in a touch hotter than expected, the Chinese Yuan is pulling lower, testing the lows of May 9, 2022. The five-day rate of change is fairly extreme by anything we’ve seen over the last few years. The last time…

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Thoughts on Fed Meeting and Rest of Year May 04, 2022

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets, News

Today the Federal Open Market Committee raised the fed funds rate (upper bound) to 1% from 50bps. The most surprising element of the press conference was the Chairman dismissing that the committee is not “actively” considering a 75bps hike right now. This sent algos into…

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