Archive | June, 2019

Is the Fed Already Behind the Curve?

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To cut or not to cut is no longer the question. Now the question is the quantity, magnitude and timing of rate cuts for the rest of the year. This week was an important one in that we were privy to several important Fed speeches as well as some informative data about the state of […]

Spotlight: Etsy’s Virtual Marketplace Has Created 1.5 Million Jobs

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Internet retailers are a much-watched sub-industry in the stock market for good reason: worldwide retail ecommerce is predicted to generate double-digit growth each year through 2022, reaching total sales of $3 trillion by the end of that year, according to Euromonitor. For those of us who measure innovation, that makes the internet & direct marketing […]

The Bond Market is Not Impressed with the Fed

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On Tuesday of this week we wrote about the four possible scenarios the Fed could adopt in their Wednesday policy decision. In order of most hawkish to most dovish, those scenarios were: Fed does not cut rates and signals that a rate cut may be appropriate later in the year (read the September meeting). Balance […]

The Fed’s Many Options for Tomorrow

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Tomorrow will obviously be one of the most important news days of the year for financial markets with the Fed expected at the very least to signal that a rate cutting cycle is in the offing. Indeed, since the Fed last raised rates the yield curve has inverted at the important 10Y-3M spread, inflation expectations […]